Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
ALE
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
VER
0 - 0
ALE
49%
23%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 2
AUR
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
DEL
0 - 1
MER
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
ALT
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
LOB
2 - 0
MER
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |