Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
ALE
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 1
UAT
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
ALE
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
ALE
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LOB
1 - 1
ALT
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
4 - 2
LOB
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 1
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
4 - 1
DOR
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 2
TEP
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |