Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 1
ALE
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
4 - 1
BAL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
PAC
2 - 3
ALE
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 1
ALE
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
PAC
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DOR
2 - 0
LOB
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
2 - 1
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VER
4 - 1
LOB
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |