Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
3 - 0
UDG
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 2
ALE
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 0
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 2
UAT
49%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LOB
0 - 1
UAT
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOB
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 0
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
0 - 1
DOR
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 1
LOB
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |