Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Chiapas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
ALE
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 3
ALE
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
IRA
3 - 1
ALE
30%
29%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
TEP
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chiapas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
JAG
3 - 1
ATS
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 3
ALE
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |