Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UAP
1 - 0
ALE
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
LOB
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
ALE
13%
23%
64%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 1
MUR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
ALE
2 - 1
MOR
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TEP
3 - 1
LOR
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
UDG
5 - 0
TEP
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 1
TEP
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TEP
0 - 1
JUA
53%
27%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 1
TEP
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |