Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
UDG
1 - 0
ALE
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 2
CAÑ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 3
ALE
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALE
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TAM
0 - 2
CIM
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
DOR
5 - 3
CIM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
IPC
2 - 3
CIM
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 2
CIM
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
PDC
2 - 0
CIM
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |