Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 0
ALE
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 1
ALE
43%
24%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 1
TEP
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
UAP
1 - 0
ALE
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
LOB
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CIM
3 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DOR
1 - 2
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JUA
2 - 1
CIM
71%
20%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 1
TEP
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
UAP
1 - 1
CIM
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |