Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
DOR
3 - 1
ALE
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 0
DOR
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TEP
0 - 3
ALE
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
3 - 1
ALT
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DOR
2 - 1
ALE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 2
CIM
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 2
LOR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CIM
3 - 2
IPC
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
IPC
2 - 3
CIM
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CIM
2 - 1
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |