Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
14º
13º
17
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZAC
1 - 1
ALE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
UDG
5 - 0
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 1
CDT
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RYD
2 - 0
ALE
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
SPT
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 1
TOR
38%
29%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOR
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOR
25%
29%
46%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
NEC
2 - 0
TOR
47%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 3
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |