Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 1
ALE
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 1
ALE
30%
28%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 1
ZAC
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
4 - 0
ALE
37%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAF
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
UAT
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
CIM
0 - 2
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAP
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |