Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
3 - 1
ALE
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
TEP
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UAT
0 - 1
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
3 - 3
CAÑ
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALE
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 0
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
NEC
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |