Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
ALE
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 5
ALE
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
DEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
LOB
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAF
5 - 2
UDG
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 0
CAF
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
UAT
0 - 0
CAF
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 0
UAT
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 2
UAT
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |