Oakleigh Cannons vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
6º
3º
60
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
4 - 1
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 1
ALM
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
OAK
2 - 0
DAN
84%
11%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 1
OAK
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
HEU
1 - 1
OAK
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 4
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 1
HEU
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MNG
2 - 5
SOU
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 1
SOU
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |