Oakleigh Cannons vs Ballarat Red Devils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oakleigh Cannons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 2
OAK
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 4
OAK
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
WEC
0 - 1
OAK
13%
19%
67%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OAK
3 - 0
PAS
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BRD
2 - 0
PAS
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BRD
2 - 0
MEL
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
BRD
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 2
WEC
56%
21%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HUM
0 - 1
BRD
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |