Oakland Roots vs El Farolito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oakland Roots
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ORS
1 - 0
NMU
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
RGV
1 - 1
ORS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
ORS
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MBF
0 - 1
ORS
12%
17%
72%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
ORS
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
El Farolito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
EFS
2 - 0
SAC
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
EFS
3 - 0
ISF
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
OAS
1 - 6
EFS
27%
22%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
EFS
2 - 1
OSC
58%
21%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
EFS
3 - 1
DAV
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |