O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HUA
0 - 1
OHI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
OHI
1 - 1
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
OHI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OHI
2 - 2
PAL
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 0
OHI
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 0
IQU
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ANT
1 - 0
UCO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 1
UCH
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |