O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 1
DLS
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 3
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 1
OHI
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 1
UCH
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
UCO
5%
13%
82%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
ANT
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |