O'Higgins vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
5 - 1
ACS
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CSL
1 - 2
OHI
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
OHI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
OHI
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |