O'Higgins vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
11º
11º
24
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
1 - 3
OHI
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OHI
0 - 4
UCH
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
OHI
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 1
OHI
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
OHI
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ULC
3 - 3
DCO
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ULC
2 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COB
2 - 0
ULC
35%
27%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
1 - 1
ULC
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ULC
2 - 1
HUA
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |