O'Higgins vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
OHI
0 - 0
CCP
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1980 |
OHI
2 - 0
AME
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
OHI
1 - 3
COL
56%
21%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1980 |
CCP
1 - 0
OHI
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1980 |
AME
1 - 4
OHI
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
2 - 0
STR
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
5 - 0
OPE
85%
9%
5%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 0
NAC
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |