Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
O'Higgins vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
OHI
1 - 1
DCO
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
UCH
2 - 5
OHI
48%
29%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OHI
1 - 2
NUB
43%
28%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HUA
2 - 0
OHI
48%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
OHI
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CSL
3 - 1
MAG
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 0
UNI
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAG
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 1
UCH
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ULC
2 - 1
MAG
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |