O Elvas vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 0
SAB
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
OEL
1 - 0
MOR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POM
0 - 1
OEL
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
OEL
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OEL
1 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
4 - 4
SCP
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
FIO
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
VIT
30%
26%
45%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |