O Elvas vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
FCP
1 - 0
OEL
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
5 - 0
OEL
51%
20%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
OEL
3 - 3
VST
68%
16%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 0
OEL
88%
8%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
OEL
1 - 1
BEL
25%
22%
53%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 2
ACA
76%
13%
11%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1949 |
SPC
0 - 1
ATL
48%
20%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 1
SPB
50%
19%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
4 - 1
FAB
66%
17%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
5 - 0
OEL
51%
20%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |