O Elvas vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
20.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BOA
1 - 2
OEL
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
39%
24%
38%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
OEL
4 - 2
EST
25%
20%
55%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SCP
7 - 1
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
OEL
7 - 0
ATL
49%
21%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
24%
20%
56%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SPB
2 - 1
ATL
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 2
SPB
62%
18%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
46%
23%
32%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |