O Elvas vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
6º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
OEL
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OEL
0 - 0
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OEL
1 - 1
TIR
77%
15%
9%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
OEL
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OEL
0 - 1
FCB
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 4
FCB
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 2
ORI
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 1
VAS
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
TOR
10%
20%
70%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
ORI
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |