O Elvas vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
12º
6º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
OEL
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OEL
0 - 0
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OEL
1 - 1
TIR
77%
15%
9%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
OEL
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OEL
0 - 1
FCB
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 4
FCB
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 2
ORI
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
4 - 1
VAS
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
TOR
10%
20%
70%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
ORI
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |