O Elvas vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
OEL
68%
16%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
OLH
6 - 3
OEL
72%
15%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
OEL
3 - 3
ACA
70%
15%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
SLB
3 - 1
OEL
89%
7%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
OEL
1 - 0
BEL
26%
22%
52%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
2 - 4
ACA
52%
20%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SLB
4 - 1
LUS
94%
4%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
LUS
5 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
ATL
6 - 1
LUS
82%
10%
7%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
LUS
0 - 1
SPB
44%
23%
33%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |