O Elvas vs Lusitano VRSA analysis


67	ELO	54
2.4%	Tilt	1.3%
1370º	General ELO ranking	16413º
25º	Country ELO ranking	356º
ELO win probability

78.5%

O Elvas

12.6%

Draw

8.9%

Lusitano VRSA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

78.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%

12.6%

Draw

0-0

1.7%

1-1

5.3%

2-2

4%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

12.6%

8.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%