O Elvas vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
54.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SCP
7 - 1
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
OEL
7 - 0
ATL
49%
21%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 0
OEL
62%
18%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
OEL
2 - 0
FCP
23%
20%
57%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
OEL
0 - 1
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
EST
2 - 4
SCP
40%
20%
40%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
ATL
3 - 3
EST
30%
21%
49%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
EST
4 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
6%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
EST
5 - 1
FCP
61%
18%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |