O Elvas vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
1 - 0
OEL
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
OEL
0 - 2
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
OEL
1 - 0
BOA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 1
OEL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
OEL
2 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CHA
3 - 2
FAR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
FCP
3 - 0
CHA
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 2
SPB
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |