O Elvas vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
66.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
OEL
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
OEL
3 - 1
SPB
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
OLH
2 - 2
OEL
71%
15%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
OEL
5 - 0
BOA
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
OEL
3 - 0
VIT
64%
18%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 3
EST
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
5 - 2
ATL
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 7
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |