Nzoia Sugar vs Muhoroni Youth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
11º
4º
29
7º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nzoia Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
TUS
0 - 0
NZO
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NZO
1 - 1
KAK
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 1
NZO
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
MAT
1 - 2
NZO
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NZO
1 - 0
NAI
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Muhoroni Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
WAZ
2 - 1
AFC
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
VIU
1 - 3
WAZ
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ULI
1 - 0
WAZ
54%
27%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
POL
4 - 0
WAZ
57%
25%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
WAZ
0 - 0
BFC
40%
26%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |