Nzoia Sugar vs Gor Mahia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
11º
4º
67
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
2.5% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nzoia Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 3
NZO
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NZO
0 - 0
AFC
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ULI
1 - 2
NZO
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
NZO
2 - 1
VIU
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
POL
2 - 0
NZO
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gor Mahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 1
TUS
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
NAI
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
GOR
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
TLT
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIU
1 - 3
GOR
11%
22%
68%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |