NZ Knights vs Sydney Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2004 |
ADE
1 - 0
NZK
73%
17%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 2
NZK
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
NZK
1 - 1
SOU
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 0
NZK
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
5 - 2
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SYD
0 - 0
SYD
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 0
SFC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |