NZ Knights vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
MEL
2 - 1
NZK
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SYD
1 - 2
NZK
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 2
NZK
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 7
PER
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
MAR
5 - 3
NZK
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 2
PER
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 2
SFC
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 0
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 1
SFC
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 3
SYD
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |