NZ Knights vs Spirit FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
NZK
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
EPR
1 - 3
NZK
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 0
SYD
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
NZK
1 - 1
SYD
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
SOU
3 - 0
NZK
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Spirit FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 1
EPR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
SYD
2 - 1
SFC
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 2
SYD
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
SFC
1 - 2
SOU
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
SFC
0 - 2
CCO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |