NZ Knights vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 0
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
PER
4 - 0
NZK
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
PAP
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 1
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 0
NZK
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MEL
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 3
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
3 - 3
MAR
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SYD
0 - 1
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRI
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |