NZ Knights vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
NCB
1 - 1
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
NZK
1 - 0
SOU
34%
25%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 1
NZK
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
NZK
0 - 3
CSC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SYD
1 - 1
SOU
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
0 - 4
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
NCB
2 - 2
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
2 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 3
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |