NZ Knights vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2007 |
CCM
0 - 0
NZK
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 1
NZK
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2006 |
NZK
3 - 1
BRI
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 0
NZK
79%
16%
6%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
NZK
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
PER
3 - 3
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
MEL
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2006 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |