NZ Knights vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
NZK
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
NZK
2 - 2
SYD
22%
23%
56%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NZK
2 - 3
MEL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 2
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PER
2 - 2
CCM
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
PER
0 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |