NZ Knights vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NZK
4 - 5
SOU
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 3
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NZK
0 - 3
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
PAP
7 - 0
NZK
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 2
NZK
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2003 |
NEW
1 - 0
PER
26%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
SYD
1 - 2
NEW
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAP
3 - 2
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PER
4 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |