NZ Knights vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
NZK
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
PER
1 - 0
NZK
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 1
CCM
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 1
SYD
17%
23%
60%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 2
MEL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 2
MEL
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |