NZ Knights vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 3
PER
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
PAP
4 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SYD
2 - 1
NZK
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NZK
1 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
NZK
4 - 5
SOU
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
SOU
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PER
3 - 0
MEL
57%
21%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 1
MAR
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 3
SFC
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |