NZ Knights vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 3
NZK
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
NZK
1 - 1
GIF
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1999 |
ADE
2 - 3
NZK
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
SFC
3 - 2
NZK
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
NZK
2 - 4
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MEL
0 - 1
SFC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
54%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PER
6 - 1
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MEL
3 - 0
NCB
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |