NZ Knights vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 1
NZK
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2002 |
NZK
1 - 2
BRI
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2002 |
NZK
2 - 1
SYD
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
ADE
3 - 0
NZK
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
NZK
2 - 2
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 2
PER
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 1
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
BRI
2 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYD
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |