NZ Knights vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 4
MEL
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
NZK
80%
15%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
PER
1 - 0
NZK
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
NZK
0 - 1
CCM
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 1
CCM
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
BRI
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |