NZ Knights vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
MEL
3 - 0
NZK
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
NZK
1 - 2
ADE
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
NZK
0 - 1
PER
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
NEW
4 - 0
NZK
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CCM
0 - 2
NZK
69%
19%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
CCM
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 1
BRI
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 3
SYD
32%
26%
43%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
36%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
PER
2 - 1
BRI
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |