NZ Knights vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NZ Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2006 |
NZK
1 - 4
PER
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
3 - 0
NZK
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
NZK
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
NZK
2 - 2
SYD
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
PER
1 - 2
ADE
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 2
ADE
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |