Nyköpings BIS vs Nacka Iliria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
7º
2º
23
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 48 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 44 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 37 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 31 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 27 |
10º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 15 |
14º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nyköpings BIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SYR
1 - 1
NYK
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NYK
3 - 0
SLE
51%
22%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
NYK
1 - 4
DEG
11%
17%
73%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 1
NYK
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NYK
0 - 2
ASI
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nacka Iliria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 2
SYL
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESK
1 - 0
NAI
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
NAI
5 - 1
BKL
58%
19%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAI
5 - 0
MAI
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SYR
0 - 0
NAI
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |