Nyköpings BIS vs IFK Eskilstuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
3º
29
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 35 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
76% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 49% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nyköpings BIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 1
NYK
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NYK
1 - 1
SLE
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NYK
3 - 0
SME
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 1
NYK
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HUD
2 - 2
NYK
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Eskilstuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ESK
0 - 0
ASI
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KIF
2 - 4
ESK
24%
20%
56%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
RIF
1 - 1
ESK
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ESK
2 - 2
SYR
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ESK
4 - 3
FOF
46%
21%
33%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |